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CPI INFLATIONTO COMEDOWN TO 7 % --MARKET MAY EXPECT RATE CUT!!
Consumer price index based inflation is critically remarked parameter to assess the domestic economy in the current environment.  Stock market and its two main segment nifty and sensex react eye to eye to such changes.   Even Morgan Stanely has also endorsed the CPI might moderate to around 7 per cent by March from the present level of 10.9 per cent.  The technical analyst and the best trading software keenly observe such kind of development in the market which kicks off a sudden spurt in the nifty chart live and compels the intraday traders to change their trading strategy.  Giving the rationale behind such moderation, it is presumed that factors like impact of slower government spending, slow rural wage growth among others would help in reducing the consumer inflation.  Since last September, total government spending has been on a decelerating trend.  Moreover, the government has controlled expenditure except interest and subsidy payments…. as the government delivers fiscal consolidation, it will help contain aggregate demand –thus reducing inflationary pressures.  Moreover, agricultural wages have shown signs of moderation, which will help in easing inflation pressure.  The moderation after almost five years of acceleration, will also help to lower food production costs and bring about a moderation in food and hence overall inflation.  The other factors like slower rise in global commodity prices like, oil, moderation in asset prices such as housing and slower growth in domestic demand would also help in containing CPI inflation.  Furthermore, sharp slowdown in domestic demand will finally start weighing on CPI inflation trend over the next six months.  In addition to it, high current account deficit coupled with slowing growth concerns, the worst may be behind.  The commodity market behaves accordingly and commodity tips provider seems to be well aware of that.

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