NIFTY LEVELS AND TRADING STRATEGY 21 AUG

Nifty closed marginally positive at 5366.30, up by 3.35 points or 0.06%, the Indian key indices opened on a strong note amid stability in global markets on hopes of
easing Eurozone credit crisis. Later market erased all gains after the CAG found irregularities in the government's coal allocation and usage. Nifty has formed a high
wave candle with long shadows on both sides near its immediate resistance level 5,380 indicating indecisiveness at higher levels. Nifty has also broken below its
supporting trend line with heavy volumes and decisive closing below 5,350 indicates that Nifty is likely to remain under selling pressure which would lead the index
downwards towards 5300‐5250. On the up side sustain buying above the 5,380 mark will see follow up buying towards 5,420‐5,460.

Trading strategy would be to Sell if market resist at 5,380 and Buy if support at 5,330. First resistance for the Nifty is 5,399 and next resistance 5,427 and first support for the Nifty is 5,339 and next
support at 5,311.

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Market at a Glance

Market at a Glance Indian benchmark indices are likely to open lower today, tracking negative global markets. Meanwhile, the Asian markets are trading lower amid concern about the faltering global economic growth after manufacturing surveys from the Eurozone and China depicted a bleak outlook. Further, concern that the European leaders are struggling in finding ways towards solving the region's debt crisis and fading hopes of more stimulus from the US Federal Reserve are also weighing over the sentiments. In SGX Nifty, Aug'12 contract last traded at 5,406, down by 23.00 points from previous settlement.

RUPEE PROBLEMS

The Sensex and the rupee are at critical breakdown levels after the stock market fell on Friday and the rupee was retesting its previous lows against the US dollar. The drop in the US equity markets on Friday might provide another downward nudge to Indian equities and the dollar rally could push the rupee lower on Monday. Readers of this column should not be surprised by the moves in the equity market and the rupee. We had mentioned that the Sensex was in a downtrend and was supported by the gap. The same is true of the Nifty. (Click here for charts of Nifty and here for Sensex) In last week’s article we mentioned that price gaps are demand areas and happen when the opening price of a day is higher or lower than the closing price of the previous day. Reuters When there is extreme demand prices open much higher than they closed the previous day. That’s what happened to the Sensex on 31 January when it opened at 16,965 after closing at ...

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