Daily Commodity Outlook August 27, 2012 News Highlights:  Crude Oil futures closed higher in the domestic market on Saturday amid rising fears of a possible disruption to crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico due to increased threat from tropical storm Isaac, which moved in to the Caribbean Sea.  Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled that there was an addi-tional scope of boosting monetary stimulus to lift the pace of US economic recovery. Hopes of further monetary easing in the US lifted domestic gold, crude oil and copper futures on Saturday.  Demand for durable US goods, excluding volatile transportation orders, fell for the fourth time in five months, falling 0.4 per cent in July from the previ-ous month, signaling a slowdown in the US manufacturing sector, and dim-ming the demand outlook for leading industrial commodities such as crude oil, and curbing the gains in the fuel in the domestic market on Saturday.  German Chancellor Angela Merkel backed Greece...

Indian benchmark indices ended the session lower backed by dim hopes of any ease in interest rates by the RBI. The 50‐share NSE Nifty closed below the 5400 level for the first time this week, weighed down by weak Global cues after doubts over Greece's future in the Eurozone and fading hopes of stimulus in the US. The NSE's Nifty fell 28.65 points to close at 5,386.70 ahead of F&O expiry week, after hitting an intraday low of 5,371. As mentioned in our previous reports, Nifty has multiple resistances between 5,450‐5,500 trajectory. On daily charts, Nifty failed to stage upside breakout from the key resistance zone, as a result market reacted downwards from those levels. Nifty has formed a small bearish candle and has broken below its supporting trendline, signaling a short‐term reversal or it may at least slowdown the pace of up move in the coming sessions if prices weaken and close below 5,350 bears would take control of the market. However, Nifty manages to hold 5,3...

Nifty Spot Recommendations for 27 August 2012   Scrip Previous Close   Support 1 Support 2 Resistance 1 Resistance 2 Nifty Spot 5386.70 5340 5266 5414 5492

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FII trading activity on NSE and BSE FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 23-Aug-2012 FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 23-Aug-2012 2473.72 2161.93 311.79 Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 23-Aug-2012 DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 23-Aug-2012 929.59 1090.69 -161.1 The data is based on today's activity compiled on the basis of trading codes entered by trading members at the time of orde...

Market at a Glance Indian benchmark indices are likely to open lower today, tracking negative global markets. Meanwhile, the Asian markets are trading lower amid concern about the faltering global economic growth after manufacturing surveys from the Eurozone and China depicted a bleak outlook. Further, concern that the European leaders are struggling in finding ways towards solving the region's debt crisis and fading hopes of more stimulus from the US Federal Reserve are also weighing over the sentiments. In SGX Nifty, Aug'12 contract last traded at 5,406, down by 23.00 points from previous settlement.

Indian benchmark indices ended flat on Thursday, as investors booked profits. Further, lower refining margins concern on Reliance Industries also put pressure on index, while support came from IT stocks ~ posted smart gains on hopes for more U.S. monetary stimulus. NSE's Nifty ended flat at 5,415.35. Nifty took a breather after two days of continuous gains, on daily charts, Nifty formed a Doji formation depicting that after recent rally, traders indulged in profit booking and are looking for fresh triggers to take the momentum ahead. Nifty has multiple resistances at 5,450‐5,480. In coming session, follow up buying past the trajectory could take Nifty till 5,520‐5,570. Further, the index still maintaining its higher high higher low formation, signaling that basis is still positive. The index has immediate support in the range of 5,400‐5,370, any selling pressure would intensify only below 5,370. Trading strategy would to buy near support and to sell around 5,480 if benchm...

Nifty closed marginally positive at 5366.30, up by 3.35 points or 0.06%, the Indian key indices opened on a strong note amid stability in global markets on hopes of easing Eurozone credit crisis. Later market erased all gains after the CAG found irregularities in the government's coal allocation and usage. Nifty has formed a high wave candle with long shadows on both sides near its immediate resistance level 5,380 indicating indecisiveness at higher levels. Nifty has also broken below its supporting trend line with heavy volumes and decisive closing below 5,350 indicates that Nifty is likely to remain under selling pressure which would lead the index downwards towards 5300‐5250. On the up side sustain buying above the 5,380 mark will see follow up buying towards 5,420‐5,460. Trading strategy would be to Sell if market resist at 5,380 and Buy if support at 5,330. First resistance for the Nifty is 5,399 and next resistance 5,427 and first support for the Nifty is 5,339 and ne...

My Exit Beliefs In part one of this article, we considered a few questions: Should we use a tight stop loss to cut any losses quickly, or a wide stop loss to allow some room to move? How quickly should we move the stop loss to breakeven ? Should we take profits at a target, or should we let the profits run, perhaps trailing a stop behind the price? In attempting to answer these questions we looked at a number of charts, we chose entry criteria, and then looked at possible options for the exit. And this is what we discovered: Firstly, in each case, the profit or loss taken out of the trade was more a result of our chosen stop and exit method, not our entry. For the same entry, there were numerous possible exits, some profitable, some breakeven and some at a loss. And secondly, we cannot know, except with hindsight, what will be the most profitable exit strategy for that particular trade. In other words - the exit is more important than the entry. The exit has more bearing on w...

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FII trading activity on NSE and BSE FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 17-Aug-2012 FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 17-Aug-2012 2169.11 1860.89 308.22 Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 17-Aug-2012 DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 17-Aug-2012 1044.55 1004.36 40.19 The data is based on today's activity compiled on the basis of trading codes entered by trading members at the time of orde...

The Most Reliable Chart Patterns By: George Angell The following is an excerpt from  Small Stocks, Big Profits   In seeking a reliable chart pattern, a chart analyst will typically look to what worked best in the past.  When he finds such a pattern he will look for a similar configuration in analyzing potential stocks to buy.  As a rule, the propensity to identify tried-and-true patterns creates a sort of self-fulfilling occurrence: because a stock generates a bullish pattern, buyers rush in and the stock rises.  Therefore, if a pattern proves profitable, the investor will attempt to recreate the same model again.  He will do this until he begins to lose money.  He will then begin to look for another pattern. While there are no “sure-thing” patterns, there are commonly acceptable ones that routinely appear on price charts.  As a novice chartist, you will want to be familiar with the following widely-watched chart patterns: T he head-and...

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Nifty closed negative at 5362.95, lower by 17.40 points or ‐0.32%, as persistent profit booking in index heavyweight turned sentiments negative amid rising crude oil prices. Nifty has formed a dark cloud cover candle with no upper shadows on daily charts indicating sustained selling at higher levels, and at same time index has also closed at the channel line support placed at 5,350 levels. Decisive closing below 5,350 indicates that Nifty is likely to remain under selling pressure which would lead the index downwards towards 5300‐5250. On the up side sustain buying above the 5,380 mark will see follow up buying towards 5,420‐5,460. Trading strategy would be to Sell if market resist at 5,380 and Buy if support at 5,330. First resistance for the Nifty is 5,384 and next resistance 5,404 and first support for the Nifty is 5,350 and next support at 5,336. *** TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK AND LIABILITY , READ DISCALIMER

NIFTY STOCKS RESEARCH Derivative Strategy for Aug 17, 2012 Scrip CMP Recommendation Target Stop Loss Nifty     5,382 BUY 5440 5350 LT        1,481 BUY 1500 1471 BIOCON   248 BUY 258 243 STER    110 SELL 103 113 TATASTEEL   401 SELL 390 406 ** TRADES AT YOUR OWN RISK AND LIABILITY PLS READ DISCLAIMER

The following are ten most important rules of technical trading:  1. Map the Trends Study long-term charts. Begin a chart analysis with monthly and weekly charts spanning several years. A larger scale map of the market provides more visibility and a better long-term perspective on a market. Once the long-term has been established, then consult daily and intra-day charts.A short-term market view alone can often be deceptive. Even if you only trade the very short term, you will do better if you’re trading in the same direction as the intermediate and longer term trends.  2. Spot the Trend and Go With It Determine the trend and follow it . Market trends come in many sizes – long-term, intermediate-term and short-term. First, determine which one you’re going to trade and use the appropriate chart. Make sure you trade in the direction of that trend. Buy dips if the trend is up. Sell rallies if the trend is down.If you’re trading the intermediate trend, use daily and weekly ...

INTRADAY NIFTY STOCKS AND COMMODITIES TRADING SYSTEM WITH AUTO BUY SELL SIGNALS PERFORMANCE ONJ 14 AUG

THIS CHARTS SHOW THE INTRADAY PERFORMANCE OF NIFTY USING THE INTRADAY BUY SELL SIGNAL TRADING SYSTEM

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FII trading activity on NSE and BSE FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 13-Aug-2012 FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 13-Aug-2012 2020.01 1680.25 339.76 Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 13-Aug-2012 DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 13-Aug-2012 701.28 877.62 -176.34 The data is based on today's activity compiled on the basis of trading codes entered by trading members at the time of orde...

Market at a Glance The Indian equity market is likely to open soft today tracking positive Asian markets. Meanwhile, the investors are keeping an eye over the monthly inflation data for July to be released later in the day. The ease in the headline inflation would help the RBI ease key policy rates. Further, the investors will keep a close eye over the release of quarterly numbers, that will further direct the trend of the market. Meanwhile, the Asian markets are trading steadily as investors are awaiting a raft of economic data from Europe and the US later in the day. Japan's Nikkei edged higher, on low volumes due to the holiday season, with the exporters gaining strength as the dollar strengthened against the yen in the New York. In SGX Nifty, Aug'12 contract last traded at 5,372, up by 1.00 point from previous settlement.

Indian indices ended marginally higher at 5347.90, up by 27.50 points or 0.52%, market opened on the cautious note following the warnings from Fitch for a possible downgrade of India's credit rating and lack of positive cues from Asian peers. However, Market gained momentum in late trading hours after value buying in index heavy weights. Nifty has formed a big Bullish candle on daily charts closing almost at the high of the day, index holding its supporting trend line indicating that short term uptrend is still intact and Nifty finds buying support at lower levels. However, Nifty closed at tab below it major resistance zone of 5,360‐5,380. In the coming session, sustaining above the 5,380 mark will see follow up buying towards 5420‐5460. Failure to make headway above 5,360‐5,380 will see the index react lower towards the support placed around 5300. Trading strategy would be to Sell if market resist at 5,390 and Buy if support at 5,330. First resistance for the Nifty is 5,...

Indian indices ended flat at 5,320.40, lower by 2.55 points, as tepid IIP numbers and lower than expected results from index heavyweight ~ SBI have outweigh investor’s sentiments. Nifty has formed a Bullish candle after two days of profit booking, with little shadow on lower side, still holding its breakout gap indicating that short term uptrend is still intact and Nifty finds buying support at lower levels. However, Nifty got struck in a narrow range of 70 pts. Further, suc-cessful close above immediate resistance zone of 5,360-5,380 can push market further upsides towards the 5,450-5,500. However, below the tra-jectory of 5,300-5,280 bull would be in trouble. Trading strategy would be to Sell if market resist at 5,390 and Buy if support at 5,300. First resistance for the Nifty is 5,336 and next resistance 5,351 and first support for the Nifty is 5,300 and next support at 5,279. Losers

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 10-Aug-2012 FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 10-Aug-2012 2373.23 2290.07 83.16 Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 10-Aug-2012 DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 10-Aug-2012 786.3 1322.99 -536.69 The data is based on today's activity compiled on the basis of trading codes entered by trading members at the time of order...