My Exit Beliefs In part one of this article, we considered a few questions: Should we use a tight stop loss to cut any losses quickly, or a wide stop loss to allow some room to move? How quickly should we move the stop loss to breakeven ? Should we take profits at a target, or should we let the profits run, perhaps trailing a stop behind the price? In attempting to answer these questions we looked at a number of charts, we chose entry criteria, and then looked at possible options for the exit. And this is what we discovered: Firstly, in each case, the profit or loss taken out of the trade was more a result of our chosen stop and exit method, not our entry. For the same entry, there were numerous possible exits, some profitable, some breakeven and some at a loss. And secondly, we cannot know, except with hindsight, what will be the most profitable exit strategy for that particular trade. In other words - the exit is more important than the entry. The exit has more bearing on w...
While the Indian stockmarkets were not generous to investors (declined week-on-week), the rain gods gave a handful to Mumbai and as usual, the city choked during the last week! This did have an impact on the daily volumes traded, which was low in the first three days, only to gain momentum in the later half. Despite a weak start, there was selective buying interest in some sectors. But sentiment was dampened following the Prime Minister's decision to keep disinvestments of public sector units on hold (read Neyveli Lignite Corporation). This time, it was not only the 'Left' that was 'as usual' against the move, but also an important ally from Tamil Nadu (DMK). Incidentally, DMK was a strong supporter of disinvestments of PSUs under the erstwhile NDA government. Besides these domestic concerns, global factors such as North Korea testing missiles and renewed worries about interest rates increasing in Japan added to the nervousness. In this backdrop, it was a tug-of-war between the bulls and the bears with bears winning the battle towards the end of the week.
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