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Nifty futures test 5000 mark; Asian indices slide sharply by Venky Vembu May 7, 2012

Hong Kong : The blood has barely been wiped off the trading floors after last week’s tumbles on the Indian markets. But already, markets are off to another bloody start to the week. Nifty futures are again sharply down in early trades on Monday, testing the 5000 mark on very weak global cues after election results in  Greece  and France over the weekend, and tepid US employment data on Friday, busted investor sentiment. (More details  here .) Listen to market audio: All across the region, trading boards are awash in red. As at 7.30 am IST, most of the indices are down in excess of 2 percent. Tokyo, returning from a holiday, is down the hardest, playing catch-up with last week’s falls: it’s now down in excess of 2.5 percent. Hong Kong is down about 2 percent, and Sydney about 1.5 percent. Shanghai is faring the best of the lot, down only about 0.2 percent. We’re probably looking at sharp losses when markets open in Mumbai today. Reuters Nifty futures are down nearly 1.5

FII FLOWS OF CAPITAL ON INDIAN STOCKS MARKET

New Delhi:   Overseas investors infused Rs 876 crore into Indian equity markets in the first week of May on hopes the government may review the General Anti Avoidance Rule (GAAR) provisions in coming days to address most of the concerns of FIIs, say experts. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) had pulled out over Rs 1,100 crore from equity markets last month due to fears that proposed GAAR provisions could lead to heavy tax burden for investors putting money through tax-friendly places like Mauritius. During the current month, foreign fund houses poured in Rs 876.10 crore in the stock market and Rs 748.10 crore in the debt market Reuters FIIs made gross purchase of equities worth Rs 6,716.50 crore and sold shares valued Rs 5,840.40 crore translating into a net inflow of Rs 876.10 crore during May 2-4, according to the data available with the market regulator Sebi. Market experts said there is widespread expectations that government may review GAAR (General Anti Avoidanc

FII FLOWS INCREASES

Flows into India likely to remain limited in the near term, as relative valuations of stocks versus emerging markets do not look attractive, Macquarie says. India thus “may be staring at a possible negative 12 month forward returns,” Macquarie says. The controversy over taxation for foreign investors, as well as macro challenges, are key reasons for net outflows of foreign institutional investors (FIIs) in April vs strong Jan-March inflows, Macquarie says. Indian stocks look historically cheap, but is trading at a premium of around 33 percent vs emerging markets vs the long-term average of 27 percent, Macquarie estimates. Nifty is seen trading in 5,000 to 5,500 range and the Sensex in 16,000 to 18,000 range, as “global liquidity glut” to provide some support, Macquarie says. Reuters

RUPEE PROBLEMS

The Sensex and the rupee are at critical breakdown levels after the stock market fell on Friday and the rupee was retesting its previous lows against the US dollar. The drop in the US equity markets on Friday might provide another downward nudge to Indian equities and the dollar rally could push the rupee lower on Monday. Readers of this column should not be surprised by the moves in the equity market and the rupee. We had mentioned that the Sensex was in a downtrend and was supported by the gap. The same is true of the Nifty.  (Click  here  for charts of Nifty and  here  for Sensex)  In last week’s article  we mentioned that price gaps are demand areas and happen when the opening price of a day is higher or lower than the closing price of the previous day. Reuters When there is extreme demand prices open much higher than they closed the previous day. That’s what happened to the Sensex on 31 January when it opened at 16,965 after closing at 16,863 on the previous day. On t

STOCK IDEAS 7TH MAY 2012

Monday, 7 May Read in   |  3:36 PM  - Hold  Sintex Industries  with a 12-month plus target of Rs 150, says Hemant Kale of Zest Capital on NDTV Profit.   »   Send to friends 3:33 PM  - The markets gained significantly in the last one hour of trade and closed with the gains of more that half-a-percent. The Sensex closed at 16935 (provisional), up 104 points from its previous close, and Nifty closed at 5123 (provisional), up 37 points. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.5% while the  BSE Smallcap  index also gained 0.5%. The market breadth was positive with advances at 764 against declines of 653 on the NSE.   »   Send to friends 3:30 PM  - Sell  TTK Prestige  with a target of Rs 2850 and stop loss of Rs 3210, says Sandeep Wagle of Aptart India on ET Now. The counter is currently trading at Rs 3047.90, down 13.1% on the BSE.   »   Send to friends 3:28 PM  - Sell  Reliance Power  as BTST with a target of Rs 94 and stop loss of Rs 108, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on